基于DPSIR模型的芜湖市水生态承载力研究与建议

卢开东; 王健健; 马燮铫; 汪俊; 张倩

doi:10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20210666

基于DPSIR模型的芜湖市水生态承载力研究与建议

doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20210666

卢开东^1,,
王健健^1, ,,
马燮铫¹,
汪俊²,
张倩³

1.
南京信息工程大学水文与水资源工程学院
2.
芜湖市生态环境局综合行政执法支队
3.
芜湖市环境监测中心站

基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目（41877158）

详细信息

作者简介:
卢开东（1994—），男，硕士研究生，研究方向为流域生态环境修复，lukaidong@outlook.com

通讯作者:
王健健（1988—），男，讲师，博士，主要从事湖泊富营养化机理研究，hhuwangjianjian@126.com

中图分类号: X26
计量
- 文章访问数: 318
- HTML全文浏览量: 243
- PDF下载量: 26
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2021-11-10
- 网络出版日期: 2022-04-02

Study and suggestions on water ecological carrying capacity of Wuhu City based on DPSIR model

1.
School of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
2.
Integrated Administrative Enforcement Detachment, Wuhu Ecological Environment Bureau
3.
Wuhu Environmental Monitoring Center Station

摘要

摘要: 《中华人民共和国长江保护法》要求流域产业结构和布局应与流域资源环境承载能力相适应。从社会、环境、经济、资源和生态5个方面出发，采用DPSIR模型，构建了芜湖市水生态承载力评价指标体系，通过熵权法和分级量化方法对芜湖市水生态承载力进行评价。结果表明：2011—2018年，芜湖市及各区县水生态承载力总体呈上升趋势，市区和繁昌区承载力相对较好，无为市、南陵县和湾沚区呈基本可承载；对芜湖市水生态承载力影响较大的指标为万元GDP用水量、人均水资源量、工业废水排放量、生态环境用水量等；基于各区县的差异，市区需要优化供水结构，繁昌区需要增加生态用水量的投入，无为市、湾沚区和南陵县要进一步提高污水收集处理率。
- 水生态承载力 /
- DPSIR模型 /
- 熵权法 /
- 指标体系 /
- 芜湖市
Abstract: The Yangtze River Protection Law requires that the industrial structure and layout in the river basin should be adapted to the carrying capacity of resources and environment. From the five aspects of society, environment, economy, resources and ecology, the DPSIR model was used to build the evaluation index system of water ecological carrying capacity in Wuhu City, and the entropy weight method and hierarchical quantitative method were used to evaluate the water ecological carrying capacity in the city. The results showed that: from 2011 to 2018, the water ecological carrying capacity of Wuhu City and its districts and counties showed an overall upward trend, the carrying capacity of urban area and Fanchang district was relatively good, while that of Wuwei City, Nanling County and Wanji district was basically bearable. The indicators that had a great impact on the water ecological carrying capacity of Wuhu City were the water consumption of ten thousand yuan GDP, water resources per capita, industrial wastewater discharge, environmental water consumption, etc. Based on the differences among districts and counties, the urban area needed to optimize the water supply structure, Fanchang district needed to increase the input of ecological water consumption, and Wuwei City, Wanji district and Nanling County were required to further improve the sewage collection and treatment rate.
- water ecological carrying capacity /
- DPSIR model /
- entropy weight method /
- index system /
- Wuhu City

HTML全文

图 1 芜湖市内水系分布

Figure 1. Water system map of Wuhu City

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 2 2011—2018年芜湖市水生态承载力变化

Figure 2. Change trend of water ecological carrying capacity in Wuhu City from 2011 to 2018

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 3 2011—2018年芜湖市各区县水生态承载力变化

Figure 3. Change trend of the ecological carrying capacity of each district and county from 2011 to 2018

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 4 芜湖市各区县水生态承载力的主要影响指标

Figure 4. Main impact indicators of each district and county

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 5 芜湖市各区县水生态承载力主要影响指标的变化趋势

Figure 5. Change trend of main impact indicators of each district and county in Wuhu City

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

表 1 芜湖市水生态承载力评价指标体系

Table 1. Evaluation index system of water ecological carrying capacity in Wuhu City

项目	指标	单位	所属子系统	指标性质
驱动力指标（D）	总人口	万人	社会	−
	城镇化率	%	社会	+
	人均GDP	元	经济	+
	城镇常住居民人均可支配收入	元	经济	+
	工业增加值	亿元	经济	+
	农林牧渔业增加值	万元	经济	+
压力指标（P）	工业用水量	亿m³	资源	−
	生活用水量	亿m³	资源	−
	农田灌溉用水量	亿m³	资源	−
	万元GDP用水量	m³	经济	−
	万元工业增加值用水量	m³	经济	−
状态指标（S）	生活污水排放量	万t	环境	−
	工业废水排放量	万t	环境	−
	总磷排放量	t	环境	−
	废水中氨氮排放量	t	环境	−
	COD排放量	t	环境	−
	市政工程污水处理率	%	环境	+
	排入污水处理厂的工业废水排放总量	万t	环境	+
	人均水资源量	m³	资源	+
	总供水量	亿m³	资源	+
影响指标（I）	生态环境用水量	亿m³	资源	+
	中水回用率	%	资源	+
	产水系数		资源	+
	年生态基流满足率	%	资源	+
响应指标（R）	生态保护红线面积比指数		生态	+
	水生生物多样性指数		生态	+
	自然岸线比例	%	生态	+
	湿地面积	hm²	环境	+
	自然保护区面积	hm²	环境	+
	绿化覆盖面积	hm²	环境	+
	饮用水源水质达标率	%	环境	+
	水功能区水质达标率	%	环境	+
注：+表示正相关指标；−表示负相关指标。

下载: 导出CSV

参考文献(30)

[1]	王西琴, 高伟, 张家瑞.区域水生态承载力多目标优化方法与例证[J]. 环境科学研究,2015,28(9):1487-1494. WANG X Q, GAO W, ZHANG J R. Multi-objective optimization for regional water ecological carrying capacity and case study[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences,2015,28(9):1487-1494.
[2]	WOLVERTON S. Harvest pressure and environmental carrying capacity: an ordinal-scale model of effects on ungulate prey[J]. American Antiquity,2008,73(2):179-199. doi: 10.1017/S0002731600042244
[3]	FENG Z M, SUN T, YANG Y Z, et al. The progress of resources and environment carrying capacity: from single-factor carrying capacity research to comprehensive research[J]. Journal of Resources and Ecology,2018,9(2):125-134. doi: 10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2018.02.002
[4]	朱运海, 彭利民, 杜敏, 等.区域水资源承载力评价国内外研究综述[J]. 科学与管理,2010,30(3):21-24. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-8256.2010.03.005 ZHU Y H, PENG L M, DU M, et al. On the evaluation of regional water resources carrying capacity[J]. Science and Management,2010,30(3):21-24. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-8256.2010.03.005
[5]	徐志青, 刘雪瑜, 肖书虎, 等.珠江三角洲地区水环境承载力评价及障碍因素研究[J]. 环境工程技术学报,2019,9(1):44-52. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2019.01.007 XU Z Q, LIU X Y, XIAO S H, et al. Evaluation and obstacle factors study of water environmental carrying capacity in the Pearl River Delta[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology,2019,9(1):44-52. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2019.01.007
[6]	胡文敏, 欧阳绿茵, 付钰珊, 等.水资源、水环境、水生态承载力评价研究综述[J]. 产业科技创新,2020,2(26):109-111.
[7]	李靖, 周孝德.叶尔羌河流域水生态承载力研究[J]. 西安理工大学学报,2009,25(3):249-255. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-4710.2009.03.001 LI J, ZHOU X D. Research on water ecological carrying capacity of Yarkant River Basin[J]. Journal of Xi'an University of Technology,2009,25(3):249-255. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-4710.2009.03.001
[8]	ZHANG Z, LU W X, ZHAO Y, et al. Development tendency analysis and evaluation of the water ecological carrying capacity in the Siping area of Jilin Province in China based on system dynamics and analytic hierarchy process[J]. Ecological Modelling,2014,275:9-21. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.11.031
[9]	薄燕.环境治理中的国际组织: 权威性及其来源: 以联合国环境规划署为例[J]. 欧洲研究,2007,25(1):87-100. BO Y. International organization in environmental governance: the case of UNEP[J]. Chinese Journal of European Studies,2007,25(1):87-100.
[10]	逯元堂, 吴舜泽, 王金南, 等.大气环境安全评估体系研究[J]. 环境科学研究,2006,19(3):128-133. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-6929.2006.03.028 LU Y T, WU S Z, WANG J N, et al. Study on assessment system of atmospheric environmental security[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences,2006,19(3):128-133. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-6929.2006.03.028
[11]	仝川.环境指标研究进展与分析[J]. 环境科学研究,2000,13(4):53-55. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-6929.2000.04.015 TONG C. Review on environmental indicator research[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences,2000,13(4):53-55. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-6929.2000.04.015
[12]	MEN B H, LIU H Y. Water resource system vulnerability assessment of the Heihe River Basin based on pressure-state-response (PSR) model under the changing environment[J]. Water Supply,2018,18(6):1956-1967. doi: 10.2166/ws.2018.017
[13]	张型芳, 王文静, 罗宏, 等.城市土地资源中生态环境承载力指标体系的构建及应用: 以北京市为例[J]. 环境工程技术学报,2017,7(2):209-215. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2017.02.031 ZHANG X F, WANG W J, LUO H, et al. Construction and application of index system of ecological environment carrying capacity of urban land resources: a case study of Beijing[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology,2017,7(2):209-215. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2017.02.031
[14]	MALEKMOHAMMADI B, JAHANISHAKIB F. Vulnerability assessment of wetland landscape ecosystem services using driver-pressure-state-impact-response (DPSIR) model[J]. Ecological Indicators,2017,82:293-303. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.06.060
[15]	PAGAN J, PRYOR M, DEEPA R, et al. Sustainable development tool using meta-analysis and DPSIR framework: application to Savannah River Basin, US[J]. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association,2020,56(6):1059-1082. doi: 10.1111/1752-1688.12872
[16]	LIU S D, DING P Y, XUE B R, et al. Urban sustainability evaluation based on the DPSIR dynamic model: a case study in Shaanxi Province, China[J]. Sustainability,2020,12(18):7460. doi: 10.3390/su12187460
[17]	ZHAO J H, XIU H R, WANG M, et al. Construction of evaluation index system of green development in the Yellow River Basin based on DPSIR model[J]. IOP Conference Series:Earth and Environmental Science,2020,510(3):032033. doi: 10.1088/1755-1315/510/3/032033
[18]	董四方, 董增川, 陈康宁.基于DPSIR概念模型的水资源系统脆弱性分析[J]. 水资源保护,2010,26(4):1-3,25. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-6933.2010.04.001 DONG S F, DONG Z C, CHEN K N. Analysis of water resources system vulnerability based on DPSIR conceptual model[J]. Water Resources Protection,2010,26(4):1-3,25. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-6933.2010.04.001
[19]	张志苗, 孙金华, 王维, 等.厦门港口规划土地资源承载力评价方法研究[J]. 环境工程技术学报,2016,6(6):607-612. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2016.06.087 ZHANG Z M, SUN J H, WANG W, et al. Study on evaluation of land carrying capacity of Xiamen port planning[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology,2016,6(6):607-612. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2016.06.087
[20]	李玉照, 刘永, 颜小品.基于DPSIR模型的流域生态安全评价指标体系研究[J]. 北京大学学报(自然科学版),2012,48(6):971-981. LI Y Z, LIU Y, YAN X P. A DPSIR-based indicator system for ecological security assessment at the basin scale[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis,2012,48(6):971-981.
[21]	芜湖市水务局. 2018年芜湖市水资源公报[A/OL]. (2020-04-03)[2021-05-06]. http://shuiwuju.wuhu.gov.cn/tzgg/tzgg/8227109.html.
[22]	解钰茜, 张林波, 罗上华, 等.基于双目标渐进法的中国省域生态文明发展水平评估研究[J]. 中国工程科学,2017,19(4):60-66.
[23]	张捍民, 邹翔, 姜威.城镇污水处理厂综合效益评价: 以辽河流域为例[J]. 环境工程技术学报,2017,7(5):573-579. ZHANG H M, ZOU X, JIANG W. Evaluation of comprehensive benefits of urban sewage treatment plants: taking Liaohe River Basin as an example[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology,2017,7(5):573-579.
[24]	高长波, 陈新庚, 韦朝海, 等.熵权模糊综合评价法在城市生态安全评价中的应用[J]. 应用生态学报,2006,17(10):1923-1927. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-9332.2006.10.028 GAO C B, CHEN X G, WEI C H, et al. Application of entropy weight and fuzzy synthetic evaluation in urban ecological security assessment[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2006,17(10):1923-1927. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-9332.2006.10.028
[25]	高宝, 傅泽强, 杨俊峰.水生态承载力评估技术指南初探[J]. 生态经济,2017,33(9):146-151.
[26]	孙佳乐, 王颖, 辛晋峰.汉江流域(陕西段)水生态承载力评估[J]. 水资源与水工程学报,2018,29(3):80-86. doi: 10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2018.03.14 SUN J L, WANG Y, XIN J F. Water ecology carrying capacity evaluation on Shaanxi section of Hanjiang River Basin[J]. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2018,29(3):80-86. doi: 10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2018.03.14
[27]	任晓庆, 杨中文, 张远, 等.滦河流域水生态承载力评估研究[J]. 水资源与水工程学报,2019,30(5):72-79. REN X Q, YANG Z W, ZHANG Y, et al. Evaluation of hydro-ecological carrying capacity (HECC) in Luanhe River Basin[J]. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2019,30(5):72-79.
[28]	包蕊, 邱莎, 唐明方, 等.基于DPSIR模型的锡林郭勒盟生态承载力评价[J]. 生态经济,2020,36(8):139-145. BAO R, QIU S, TANG M F, et al. Evaluation of ecological carrying capacity in Xilingol League based on DPSIR model[J]. Ecological Economy,2020,36(8):139-145.
[29]	胡晋飞, 杨永刚, 秦作栋, 等.基于主成分分析的晋西北水生态承载力评价[J]. 山西农业科学,2015,43(8):1021-1026. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-2481.2015.08.28 HU J F, YANG Y G, QIN Z D, et al. Evaluation of water ecological carrying capacity in northwestern Shanxi on principal component analysis[J]. Journal of Shanxi Agricultural Sciences,2015,43(8):1021-1026. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-2481.2015.08.28
[30]	蒋汝成, 顾世祥.熵权法-正态云模型在云南省水生态承载力评价中的应用[J]. 水资源与水工程学报,2018,29(3):118-123. doi: 10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2018.03.20 JIANG R C, GU S X. Application of entropy weight-normal cloud model in carrying capacity evaluation of water ecological environment in Yunnan Province[J]. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2018,29(3):118-123. □ doi: 10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2018.03.20