突发事件生态损害多时空尺度评估研究以甘肃榆中“8·7”洪涝灾害为例

Multi-spatiotemporal assessment of ecological damage caused by sudden events: a case study of the August 7 flood disaster in Yuzhong County, Gansu Province

  • 摘要: 针对传统静态评估多依赖退水当日静态测算、难以捕捉滞后性生态影响的局限,以2025年甘肃榆中“8·7”特大洪涝灾害为研究对象,构建了景观—生态系统—群落三尺度嵌套、兼顾结构和功能的多时空评估体系。基于Google Earth Engine(GEE)云平台,以灾前3~5年的生态状态为基准,分别在退水后0 d、10 d、30 d三个时间节点开展生态损害定量核算。结果表明:1)退水后30 d内,植被覆盖度、景观格局等宏观生态结构指标快速回升,但群落结构与水源涵养、固碳等生态系统调节功能持续衰退,二者变化过程明显不同步;功能损害存在显著滞后特征,退水后10~30 d为功能损害集中显现时段,中度功能受损面积较退水当日增长 233%,仅开展退水当日静态评估会遗漏 15%~25% 的隐性功能损失;2)本次洪涝灾害对区域生态系统兼具干扰与补给双重效应,全域66.30%的未直接受淹区域因降水补给呈现显著生态状况改善。本评估方法弥补了传统静态生态损害评估的不足,可为西北半干旱生态脆弱区洪涝灾害的精准评估与灾后生态修复提供技术支撑与决策依据。

     

    Abstract: To address the limitation that traditional static assessments mostly rely on one-time measurement on the day of water recession and fail to capture lagged ecological impacts of flood disasters, this study takes the extreme "8·7" flood disaster in Yuzhong, Gansu Province in 2025 as the research object, and constructs a multi-spatiotemporal scales assessment system with three nested scales (landscape, ecosystem, and community) that integrates both ecological structure and function. Based on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud platform, with the ecological status of 3-5 years before the disaster as the baseline, quantitative accounting of ecological damage was carried out at three time points: 0 day, 10 days, and 30 days after water recession. The results showed that: Within 30 days after water recession, macroscopic ecological structure indicators such as vegetation coverage and landscape pattern rebounded rapidly, while community structure and ecological regulation functions including water conservation and carbon sequestration continued to decline, presenting significantly asynchronous change processes. Ecological functional damage exhibited a prominent lag characteristic. The period of 10-30 days after water recession was the concentrated emergence stage of functional damage, with the area of moderate functional damage increasing by 233% compared with that on the day of water recession. A static assessment conducted only on the day of water recession would miss 15%-25% of latent functional losses. This flood disaster has dual effects of disturbance and replenishment on the regional ecosystem. A total of 66.30% of the non-inundated areas across the study region showed significant ecological improvement due to precipitation replenishment. This assessment method compensates for the shortcomings of traditional static ecological damage assessment, and can provide technical support and decision-making basis for accurate flood damage assessment and post-disaster ecological restoration in the ecologically fragile semi-arid regions of Northwest China.

     

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