藏东南滑坡扰动下生态系统服务损失识别及主控因素

Identification of ecosystem service losses and dominant controlling factors under landslide disturbance in Southeastern Xizang

  • 摘要: 藏东南高山峡谷区滑坡频发,斑块尺度地表覆盖突变会迅速影响坡面水文、土壤保持和固碳过程。为识别滑坡发生后的即时生态系统服务损失,以错那市、隆子县、米林市、墨脱县和巴宜区389个滑坡斑块为对象,基于灾前原始土地覆被与灾后裸地扰动情景,采用InVEST模型测算产水量、土壤保持量和碳储量变化,并结合地形因子、遥感指数和SHAP方法解析主控因素。结果表明:滑坡后产水量均值增加60.1%,蒸散强度下降63.0%,说明水分更多转为坡面快速外排,而非水文调节功能改善。土壤保持量和碳储量分别下降77.0%和87.4%,单位面积侵蚀程度增至灾前的33.4倍;综合扰动指数识别出63个高综合扰动斑块,主要集中于墨脱县和错那市。地形因子是生态系统服务损失差异的主要控制因素,其中产水量变化主要受高程起伏幅度和坡度起伏幅度控制,贡献率分别为39.03%和32.54%;土壤保持量损失主要受高程均值和高程起伏幅度控制,贡献率分别为37.94%和36.07%;碳储量损失主要受高程起伏幅度控制,贡献率为36.86%。遥感指数主要反映灾后植被剥离、裸地暴露和表层失水状态。研究结果可为藏东南滑坡灾后生态修复优先排序和坡面分区治理提供依据。

     

    Abstract: Landslides occur frequently in the alpine-gorge region of southeastern Xizang, where abrupt land-cover changes at the patch scale can rapidly alter hillslope hydrology, soil retention, and carbon storage processes. To identify the immediate ecosystem service losses after landslide disturbance, this study selected 389 landslide patches in Cuona City, Longzi County, Milin City, Medog County, and Bayi District as the study objects. Based on pre-landslide original land-cover and post-landslide bare-land disturbance scenarios, the InVEST model was used to quantify changes in water yield, soil retention, and carbon storage. Topographic factors, remote-sensing indices, and SHAP, an interpretable machine learning method, were further integrated to identify the dominant controlling factors. The results showed that after landslide disturbance, mean water yield increased by 60.1%, whereas evapotranspiration intensity decreased by 63.0%, indicating that more water was converted into rapid hillslope runoff rather than contributing to enhanced hydrological regulation. Soil retention and carbon storage decreased by 77.0% and 87.4%, respectively, and the area-specific erosion intensity increased to 33.4 times the pre-landslide level. A total of 63 patches with high composite disturbance were identified by the comprehensive disturbance index, mainly concentrated in Medog County and Cona City. Topographic factors were the primary controls on the spatial differences in ecosystem service losses. Changes in water yield were mainly controlled by elevation relief amplitude and slope relief amplitude, with contribution rates of 39.03% and 32.54%, respectively. Soil retention loss was mainly controlled by mean elevation and elevation relief amplitude, with contribution rates of 37.94% and 36.07%, respectively. Carbon storage loss was primarily controlled by elevation relief amplitude, with a contribution rate of 36.86%. Remote-sensing indices mainly reflected post-landslide vegetation removal, bare-land exposure, and surface moisture loss. These findings provide a scientific basis for prioritizing post-landslide ecological restoration and implementing zonal hillslope management in southeastern Xizang.

     

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