白格滑坡对金沙江河网形态特征的影响

Effects of Baige landslide on river network morphology in the Jinsha River Basin

  • 摘要: 金沙江上游滑坡堵江现象频发,对流域水系演化和梯级电站运行造成显著影响。为揭示特大型滑坡对金沙江干支流河网形态特征的影响,基于多源卫星遥感数据,辨识了白格滑坡在2018年发生至2025年期间的滑坡范围以及滑坡前后金沙江干支流水系形态,进而利用河网密度、弯曲度、计盒维数等指标量化分析滑坡前后滑坡区岸坡支流及金沙江干流的形态变化规律。结果表明:滑坡发生前,岸坡的支流分布形态为“梳状”水系,均独立汇入干流。滑坡发生后,岸坡的汇水条件发生明显变化,坡面汇流增加,更加难以形成连续完整的坡面水系,左、右岸河网密度分别平均下降2.7%和29.6%,水系形态转变为两条末端接近相接的“树枝状”。白格滑坡对金沙江干流河道形态的影响主要集中在主堆积体段及其上游,由近“C”型变为近“S”型。河床加高主要影响枯水期的河道形态,对丰水期影响较小。滑坡后,弯曲度由1.16增加为1.17。滑坡发生3年后,干流河道形态趋于稳定。单次特大型滑坡易触发多期次 “滑坡 — 堰塞 — 溃决” 灾害链,亟须加强全过程实时监测与预警预报技术研究。

     

    Abstract: Landslide damming events occur frequently in the upper reaches of the Jinsha River, significantly affecting the evolution of the river network and the operation of cascade hydropower plants. To reveal the impact of an extremely large-scale landslide on the morphological characteristics of the mainstream and tributaries of the Jinsha River, this study employed multi-source satellite remote sensing data to identify the landslide extent from 2018 to 2025 at the Baige landslide site, as well as the morphology of the river systems before and after the landslide. Indicators such as river network density, sinuosity, and box-counting dimension were used to quantify the morphological changes in bank slope tributaries within the landslide area and the mainstream of the Jinsha River before and after the landslide. The results indicate that prior to the landslide, the bank slope tributaries exhibited a comb-like distribution, independently flowing into the mainstream. After the landslide, catchment conditions of slopes underwent significant changes, with an increase in slope runoff that hindered the formation of a complete slope drainage system. The average river network density on the left and right banks decreased by 2.7% and 29.6%, respectively, transforming the morphology into a dendritic pattern with two nearly interconnecting ends. The influences of the Baige landslide on the morphology of the mainstream were primarily concentrated in the landslide deposit segment and its upstream section, changing from approximately C-shaped to approximately S-shaped. The increase in riverbed height mainly affected the morphology of the mainstream during the dry season, with minimal impact during the wet season. After the landslide, sinuosity increased from 1.16 to 1.17. Three years after the landslide, the overall morphology of the mainstream tended to be stable. A single extremely large-scale landslide can easily trigger multiple phases of the "landslide-dammed lake-dam failure" disaster chain. Therefore, there is an urgent need to strengthen research on real-time monitoring, early warning and prediction technologies throughout the entire process.

     

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