河流断面面源污染通量计算方法的系统评估与案例实证研究

Systematic assessment and case study of estimation methods for non-point source pollution flux in river sections

  • 摘要: 准确识别与量化入河面源污染通量是精准防治农业面源污染的关键科学环节。当前研究与实践多侧重于流域尺度“从源到汇”的过程模拟,缺乏基于断面监测数据、“从汇溯源”的直接定量解析方法。本研究采用文献计量学方法,系统性梳理了近四十年(1980-2025年)Web of Science核心合集中的4950篇相关文献,构建了河流断面地表直接径流面源污染物通量计算方法的全景式知识图谱。在此基础上,以重庆永川临江河流域茨坝断面为实证对象,整合高频监测数据与文献方法学成果,对比评估了多种污染物通量分割技术。研究核心在于将河流断面实测总污染物通量,高精度分解为基流(地下水背景值)、点源(集中排放)与地表径流面源(以农业面源为主)三部分,实现了面源污染贡献的“观测溯源”式直接量化。本研究成果为水环境管理中面源污染的精准识别、责任界定与负荷核算提供了具有强操作性的方法学体系与典型案例支撑,对推动我国水质管理从浓度控制向通量管控的范式转变具有重要科学价值。

     

    Abstract: Accurate identification and quantification of in-river non-point source pollution flux represents a critical scientific link in the precise prevention and control of agricultural non-point source pollution. Current research and practice predominantly focus on "source-to-sink" process simulation at the watershed scale, while lacking direct quantitative analysis methods based on cross-section monitoring data for "sink-to-source" tracing. This study employed bibliometric methods to systematically review 4950 relevant articles from the Web of Science Core Collection spanning four decades (1980-2025), constructing a comprehensive knowledge map of calculation methods for surface direct runoff non-point source pollutant flux at river cross-sections. Building on this foundation, using the Ciba cross-section of the Linjiang River Basin in Yongchuan, Chongqing as an empirical case, we integrated high-frequency monitoring data with methodological findings from the literature to comparatively evaluate multiple pollutant flux separation techniques. The core of this research lies in the high-precision decomposition of the measured total pollutant flux at river cross-sections into three components: baseflow (groundwater background value), point sources (centralized discharges), and surface runoff non-point sources (primarily agricultural non-point sources), thereby achieving "observation-based source tracing" direct quantification of non-point source pollution contributions. The findings of this study provide a highly operational methodological system and typical case support for the precise identification, responsibility attribution, and load accounting of non-point source pollution in water environment management, holding significant scientific value for promoting the paradigm shift of water quality management in China from concentration control to flux control.

     

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