银川市“水资源-经济-环境-再生水”耦合系统构建及协调度评价

Construction and coordination degree evaluation of the “water resources-economy-environment-reclaimed water”coupling system in Yinchuan City

  • 摘要: 银川市是黄河上游重度缺水城市,再生水作为解决水资源供需矛盾的潜在水源,具有资源和经济双重价值。为精准识别再生水利用关键制约因素,研究构建涵盖水资源、经济、环境、再生水四元评价体系,综合层次分析法(AHP)与熵权法确定指标权重,基于耦合协调度模型,评价银川市WEER系统综合发展水平和耦合协调发展水平,使用灰色关联模型识别WEER系统耦合协调度主要影响因子。结果表明:2019至2023年,银川市WEER系统综合发展水平指数由0.23增长至0.86,达到成熟发展阶段,下辖各区县(市)存在一定区域差异;总体耦合协调度由0.45增长至0.92,达到优质协调,除贺兰县外,下辖各区县(市)均达到良好协调;灰色关联度模型显示,银川市WEER系统耦合协调度主要影响因子为区域径流系数、单位GDP耗水量、工业生产用水比例、单位面积产水量、公共财政预算收入占GDP比、经济密度、单位GDP再生水利用量、再生水回用率和径污比,与耦合协调度关联度分别为0.81、0.87、0.9、0.88、0.87、0.87、0.88、0.84、0.88。银川市需通过优化用水结构,推进节水型社会建设,完善污水收集、处理体系,提升WEER系统的整体协调发展水平。研究可为银川市再生水优化配置和高效利用提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Yinchuan City is a water-scarce city in the upper reaches of the Yellow River. Reclaimed water, as a potential water source to resolve the contradiction between water supply and demand, possesses both resource and economic value. To accurately identify the key constraints in the utilization of reclaimed water, this study constructs a four-element evaluation system encompassing water resources, economy, environment, and reclaimed water. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the entropy weight method are combined to determine the indicator weights. Based on a coupling coordination degree model, the comprehensive development level and the coupling coordinated development level of Yinchuan's Water-Economy-Environment-Reclaimed water (WEER) system are evaluated. The grey correlation model is used to identify the main factors influencing the coupling coordination degree of the WEER system. The results indicate that from 2019 to 2023, the comprehensive development level index of Yinchuan's WEER system increased from 0.23 to 0.86, reaching a mature development stage, although certain regional differences existed among its districts and counties(cities). The overall coupling coordination degree rose from 0.45 to 0.92, achieving high-quality coordination. Except for Helan County, all other districts and counties(cities) under Yinchuan's jurisdiction reached good coordination. The grey correlation model reveals that the main influencing factors for the coupling coordination degree of Yinchuan's WEER system are the regional runoff coefficient, water consumption per unit of GDP, proportion of water used for industrial production, water yield per unit area, ratio of public fiscal budget revenue to GDP, economic density, reclaimed water utilization per unit of GDP, reclaimed water reuse rate, and the runoff-to-sewage ratio. Their correlation degrees with the coupling coordination degree are 0.81, 0.87, 0.90, 0.88, 0.87, 0.87, 0.88, 0.84, and 0.88, respectively. Yinchuan City needs to enhance the overall coordinated development level of the WEER system by optimizing its water use structure, promoting the construction of a water-conserving society, and improving the sewage collection and treatment systems. This research can provide a scientific basis for the optimal allocation and efficient utilization of reclaimed water in Yinchuan City.

     

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