山西省生态系统健康评价及驱动因素分析

Ecosystem health evaluation and driving factors analysis in Shanxi Province

  • 摘要: 明确生态系统健康时空变化及其驱动机制对区域生态管理与修复具有重要意义。基于“风险-过程-价值”评估框架,综合景观生态风险、生态稳定性、土壤侵蚀和生态系统服务价值等指标,评估了2000—2020年山西省生态系统健康时空演变特征,结合地理探测器与结构方程模型分析其驱动因素与作用路径。结果表明:2000—2020年山西省生态系统健康整体呈持续改善趋势,优良等级区域主要分布于太行山、吕梁山等山地地区,并由核心山区向周边扩展,较差等级区域集中于城市与耕作活动密集的盆地和平川地区;不同关键指标的变化特征及驱动因素存在显著差异,生态稳定性和土壤侵蚀主要受地形和气候等自然因素控制,生态风险和生态系统服务价值则主要受到人类活动影响。驱动机制分析表明,建筑密度、坡度和年潜在蒸散发量是影响生态系统健康的主导因子,自然因素通过降低景观生态风险并提升生态系统服务与稳定性,对生态系统健康形成总体上的正向影响;人类活动主要通过削弱生态系统服务功能、降低生态稳定性并加剧景观破碎化,对生态系统健康产生负向影响。建议实施分区精细化管控,强化山区生态过程修复与水土保持,优化平原地区开发强度与空间格局,以促进区域生态安全与可持续发展。

     

    Abstract: Identifying the spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem health and its driving mechanisms is important for regional ecological management and restoration. Based on the Risk-Process-Value assessment framework, this study integrated landscape ecological risk, ecosystem stability, soil erosion, and ecosystem service value to evaluate the spatiotemporal evolution of ecosystem health in Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2020. Geographic detectors and structural equation modeling were further employed to identify the dominant driving factors and their influence pathways. The results indicated that ecosystem health in Shanxi Province showed a continuous improvement trend during the study period. Areas with good ecosystem health were mainly distributed in mountainous regions such as the Taihang and Lüliang Mountains and expanded outward from core areas, whereas areas with poor ecosystem health were concentrated in basins and plains characterized by intensive urbanization and agricultural activities. The spatiotemporal variation patterns and driving mechanisms of key indicators differed significantly: ecosystem stability and soil erosion were primarily controlled by natural factors such as topography and climate, while ecological risk and ecosystem service value were mainly influenced by human activities. Analysis of driving mechanisms further revealed that building density, slope, and annual potential evapotranspiration were the dominant drivers affecting ecosystem health. Natural factors posed an overall positive influence on ecosystem health by reducing landscape ecological risk and enhancing ecosystem services and stability, whereas human activities mainly exerted negative effects by weakening ecosystem service functions, reducing ecosystem stability, and intensifying landscape fragmentation. Accordingly, this study recommends the implementation of spatially differentiated management strategies, emphasizing ecological process restoration and soil and water conservation in mountainous areas, as well as optimizing development intensity and spatial patterns in plain areas, to enhance regional ecological security and promote sustainable development.

     

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