长江流域降雨时空特征及对流域内城市水体黑臭风险的影响

Spatial and temporal characteristics of rainfall in the Yangtze River Basin and its impact on the black and odor risk of urban water bodies in the basin

  • 摘要: 当前我国城市黑臭水体治理已取得良好成效,但雨季返黑返臭成为城市水体面临的新环境问题,而对雨季水体黑臭的风险缺乏研究。以长江流域88个城市为研究对象,对各城市2019—2023年的日降水量进行分析,以超阈值降雨天数为依据,利用Z值法表征评估长江流域城市水体发生黑臭的风险,并探讨长江流域城市水体雨后返黑返臭的机制。结果显示:1)降雨作为主要驱动力引发合流制管网溢流,以及降雨引起的地表径流携带高浓度污染物进入水体,是导致城市水体雨后返黑返臭的主要原因。2)2019—2023年长江流域88个城市24 h降水量≥10 mm的总频次介于33~128次,当24 h降水量≥10 mm、达到中雨及以上等级时,溢流极易发生。3)空间尺度上,长江流域城市雨后黑臭发生风险呈现从上游到中下游变高的趋势,上游城市有15%~41%处于低风险区间(Z<−1);中游城市有67%~80%处于中风险区间(−1≤Z≤1),有20%~30%处于高风险区间(Z>1);下游城市有48%~84%处于中风险区间,有12%~40%处于高风险区间。长江流域城市在3个风险等级之间转换,上游城市主要在低风险与中风险间转换,中、下游城市主要在中风险与高风险间转换。4)降雨对城市水体的影响表现在多次降雨输入大量污染物和单次降雨高浓度污染物输入两方面,污染负荷大的城市多为中风险和高风险城市,且达到溢流标准的降雨往往被认为能将轻度或重度黑臭水排入地表水体,引发水体黑臭。

     

    Abstract: At present, the treatment of urban black and odorous water bodies in China has achieved good results, but the post-rain recurrence in the rainy season has become a new environmental problem faced by urban areas, and there is a lack of research on the risk of black and odorous water bodies in the rainy season. This study took 88 cities in the Yangtze River Basin as the research object and analyzed the daily precipitation of each city from 2019 to 2023. Based on the number of days of over-threshold rainfall, the risk of black and odorous urban water bodies in the Yangtze River Basin was evaluated by the Z-value method, and the mechanisms behind the post-rain recurrence were discussed. The results showed that: (1) Rainfall as the main driving force caused the overflow of the combined pipe network, and the surface runoff caused by rainfall carried high-concentration pollutants into the water bodies, which were the primary causes of post-rain black and odorous conditions. (2) From 2019 to 2023, the total frequency of daily precipitation ≥10 mm in 88 cities in the Yangtze River Basin ranged from 33 to 128 events. When the 24-hour precipitation ≥10 mm and reached moderate rain or above, the overflow was very likely to occur. (3) On the spatial scale, the risk of post-rain black and odorous conditions in cities in the Yangtze River Basin showed a trend of increasing from the upstream to the middle and lower reaches. 15%-41% of the upstream cities were in the low risk range (Z<−1); 67%-80% of the cities in the middle reaches were in the medium risk range (−1≤Z≤1), and 20%-30% were in the high risk range (Z>1); 48%-84% of the downstream cities were in the medium risk range, and 12%-40% were in the high risk range. The cities in the Yangtze River Basin shifted among three risk levels. The upstream cities mainly shifted between low risk and medium risk, while the middle and downstream cities mainly shifted between medium risk and high risk. (4) The impact of rainfall on urban water bodies was manifested in two aspects: the input of large pollutant loads by multiple rainfalls and the input of high-concentration pollutants by a single rainfall. Cities with large pollution loads were often at medium or high risk, and the rainfall reaching overflow standard event could often discharge mild or severe black and odorous water into surface water bodies, thereby causing black and odorous conditions.

     

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