将气候变化纳入政策环评的理论机制、发展现状和完善路径

Theoretical mechanism, development status and improvement path of incorporating climate change into policy environmental impact assessment

  • 摘要: 面对人为气候变化给生态系统带来的日益严峻的挑战,政策环评以其跨部门、跨区域的宏观视角和累积效应评估优势,成为实现气候目标、增强政策气候适应能力的重要工具。采用文献回顾和案例分析方法,系统评估了将减缓和适应气候变化协同纳入政策环评的合理性。基于我国17项政策环评试点案例的实证分析,揭示了气候变化评价实施过程中的多重制度缺陷与障碍,包括重减缓轻适应倾向突出、适应评估方法缺失与数据支撑不足、不同政策层级与类型关注度失衡等。这些不足源于实践探索的初始阶段性,就此提出了完善我国政策环评气候变化整合机制的政策建议与技术路径,即完善法律规范体系建设、构建气候变化评估技术体系和优化气候模型与数据透明度,助力我国从气候治理的积极参与者向全球引领者转型。

     

    Abstract: In response to the escalating challenges posed by anthropogenic climate change to ecosystems, policy environmental impact assessment (EIA) has emerged as a crucial instrument for achieving climate objectives and strengthening policy resilience, owing to its cross-sectoral and trans-regional macro-perspective coupled with unique advantages in cumulative impact evaluation. This study systematically employs literature review and case analysis to evaluate the rationale for synergistically integrating both climate change mitigation and adaptation into policy EIA frameworks. Based on the empirical analysis of 17 pilot policy EIA cases in China, the research uncovers multiple institutional deficiencies and barriers in the implementation process of climate change assessment, including a pronounced mitigation-over-adaptation bias, a lack of adaptation assessment methodologies, inadequate data infrastructure, and disproportionate attention across different policy levels and categories. In light of these limitations inherent to this initial exploratory phase, the study proposes concrete policy recommendations and technical pathways to improve China's policy EIA and climate change integration mechanism. These include strengthening the legal-regulatory framework, building a climate change assessment technology system, and optimizing climate change models and data transparency. This will facilitate China's strategic transition from an active participant to a global leader in climate governance.

     

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