Abstract:
Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is highly susceptible to climate change factors. To rationally assess the rooftop PV potential in China, this study select the central urban areas of five cities in China, namely Haikou, Kunming, Xining, Jinan and Hohhot, which are rich in typical roof resources under different climatic conditions and evaluates the PV power generation potential and environmental benefits of their downtowns using GIS technology. The results indicate that the utilizable rooftop area for PV installations accounts for 34%-40% of the total rooftop area in the study regions. The annual potential PV power generation in the central urban areas of Haikou, Kunming, Xining, Jinan, and Hohhot is estimated at 1 369.25 GWh, 1 278.10 GWh, 923.36 GWh, 3 213.88 GWh, and 3 150.76 GWh, respectively. These outputs could meet 122.08%, 30.78%, 61.47%, 74.74%, and 174.57% of the residential electricity demand in the corresponding cities. Under equivalent substitution of coal-fired power generation, the estimated carbon emission reductions reach 0.862×10
6 tons, 0.805×10
6 tons, 0.707×10
6 tons, 2.496×10
6 tons, and 2.447×10
6 tons, respectively. The study demonstrates that rooftop PV systems can effectively reduce reliance on conventional energy sources, enhance renewable energy penetration rates, and lower carbon emission intensity in China.