基于DPSIR模型的陆上油气田生态风险评价

Ecological risk evaluation of onshore oilfield based on DPSIR model

  • 摘要: 油气田开发常伴随着周边环境的破坏,其生态风险来源多样,路径复杂,单一风险指标难以全面反映系统性生态影响,亟须建立多维度的综合风险评价体系。利用驱动力—压力—状态—影响—响应(DPSIR)模型构建评价指标体系,通过遥感(RS)解译技术结合地理信息系统工具获取各指标,采用拉格朗日乘子法结合层次分析法-熵权法计算主客观组合权重,建立基于DPSIR模型的油气田生态风险评价方法。以华北油田冀中采油区中部油气开采密集区域为研究对象,开展生态风险评价实证研究,系统解析评价指标、权重分配及风险等级划分结果。结果表明:1)基于DPSIR模型构建了包含5个维度15个核心指标的陆上油气田生态风险评价体系,能够全面反映油气田开发的生态风险情况。2)评价区域中,84.041%的区域处于低、中低和中风险区域,高风险区仅占0.959%,且呈现斑块状分布,其中河间、任丘、文安和雄县均存在高风险区。3)不同指标对陆上油气田的生态风险影响差异显著,华北油田生态风险的主要驱动因素是油田开发本身,包括开采占地比、产能设施密度、景观破碎度、石油烃污染和重金属污染,油田开发对生态系统的压力远高于其他社会经济和自然因素。4)不同区域生态风险的主要驱动因子不同,雄县高风险区域主要驱动因子为景观破碎度高和植被覆盖度低;河间市高风险区域主要驱动因子为景观破碎度高和开采占地比高;任丘市高风险区域主要驱动因子为土壤盐渍化和开采占地比高;文安县高风险区域主要驱动因子为景观破碎度高和绿地覆盖面积小。基于DPSIR模型的生态风险评价方法能够有效识别油气田生态系统的主要风险源,为陆上油气田的生态风险评价提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The development of oil and gas fields typically results in environmental degradation in surrounding areas. Ecological risks originate from diverse sources and propagate through complex pathways, making it difficult for any single risk indicator to capture the full spectrum of potential ecological impacts. Consequently, there is an urgent need to establish a multidimensional and integrated risk assessment system. An evaluation indicator system was developed based on the Driving Force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework. Indicators were derived by integrating remote sensing (RS) interpretation with geographic information system (GIS) tools. The combined subjective and objective weights were determined by integrating the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Entropy Weight Method (EWM) via the Lagrange multiplier method, and the ecological risk assessment model for oil and gas fields was constructed based on the DPSIR framework. An empirical ecological risk assessment was conducted in the central area of the Jizhong Oil Production Zone within the Huabei Oilfield, a region characterized by intensive oil and gas exploitation. The evaluation indicators, weight distribution, and risk classification results were systematically analyzed. The findings indicated that: 1) The ecological risk assessment system for onshore oil and gas fields, comprising five dimensions and 15 core indicators based on the DPSIR model, effectively captured the ecological risks associated with oil and gas development. 2) Approximately 84.041% of the study area fell into low, medium-low, and medium-risk categories, while high-risk areas accounted for only 0.959% and exhibited a patchy distribution. High-risk zones were found in Hejian, Renqiu, Wen'an, and Xiongxian. 3) The influence of individual indicators on ecological risk varied considerably. The primary drivers of ecological risk were development activities themselves, including the extraction-to-land-use ratio, density of production facilities, landscape fragmentation, and pollution from petroleum hydrocarbons and heavy metals. The pressure of oilfield development on ecosystems significantly outweighed that from other socio-economic and natural factors. 4) Key drivers of ecological risk differed across regions. In Xiongxian County, high landscape fragmentation and low vegetation cover were the main contributors to high-risk areas. In Hejian City, high landscape fragmentation and a high extraction-to-land-use ratio dominated. In Renqiu City, soil salinization and a high extraction-to-land-use ratio were the primary causes. In Wen'an County, high landscape fragmentation and low green space coverage were the predominant factors. The ecological risk assessment method based on the DPSIR model can effectively identify the main risk sources of the oilfield ecosystem, providing a reference for the ecological risk assessment of onshore oil and gas fields

     

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