淮河生态经济带新型城镇化与绿色发展协调演进关系研究

Research on the coordinated evolution of new-type urbanization and green development in the Huaihe River Eco-economic Belt

  • 摘要: 探究淮河生态经济带新型城镇化与绿色发展协调演进关系,对增强淮河流域经济发展动力和建设和谐有序的生态经济带具有重要意义。基于新型城镇化与绿色发展耦合协调机理,以2009—2022年淮河生态经济带25个地级市为样本,运用耦合协调度模型、莫兰指数、Dagum基尼系数等方法,研究新型城镇化与绿色发展耦合协调的演进关系和规律。结果表明:①耦合协调发展状况整体呈平缓上升的发展趋势;②协调度空间分布整体呈现出以东部、北部中心城市不断向周围城市和中西部扩张的空间格局;③研究期内,“城镇中度协调-绿色发展水平滞后”“中度协调同步”两种耦合协调类型占主导地位,近5年内,北部和中西部地区主要以绿色发展水平滞后型为主,东部地区新型城镇化滞后问题较为突出;④总体耦合协调度的差异不断缩小,东部地区内部的协调差异最大,总体的差异主要来源于东部和中西部之间,区域间差异的贡献率最高。

     

    Abstract: It is of great significance to explore the coordinated evolution relationship between new-type urbanization and green development in the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt to enhance the economic development momentum and build a harmonious and orderly ecological economic belt in the Huaihe River Basin. Based on the coupling and coordination mechanism of new-type urbanization and green development, 25 prefecture-level cities in the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt from 2009 to 2022 were taken as samples, and the coupling coordination model, Moran index and Dagum Gini coefficient were used to study the evolution relationship and law of coupling and coordination between new-type urbanization and green development. The results show that: (1) The overall development of coupling and coordination shows a steady upward trend; (2) The spatial distribution of coordination degree shows a spatial pattern of continuous expansion from the central cities in the east and north to the surrounding cities and the central and western regions. (3) During the study period, the two coupling coordination types of "urban moderate coordination-lagging green development level" and "moderate coordination and synchronization" were dominant, and in the past five years, the northern and central and western regions were mainly lagging behind in green development, and the lagging problem of new-type urbanization in the eastern region was more prominent. (4) The differences in the overall coupling coordination degree are narrowing, and the coordination differences within the eastern region are the largest, and the overall differences mainly come from the eastern and central western regions, and the contribution rate of inter-regional differences is the highest.

     

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