火电厂大气污染物排放标准实施导致火电源对PM2.5贡献变化的数值模拟研究

Effect of Air Pollutants Emission Standards of Thermal Power Plants on Change of PM2.5 Contributed by Thermal Power Plants: A Numerical Simulation

  • 摘要: 基于2003版和2011版《火电厂大气污染物排放标准》的实施,设计了4种模拟情景,应用WRF-CMAQ模式系统模拟PM2.5浓度,探讨2020年火电源对PM2.5的贡献率情况。结果表明:2011版《火电厂大气污染物排放标准》对改善我国PM2.5污染状况有较好的效果,如果火电厂实施2003版标准,到2020年火电源对30个主要城市PM2.5的贡献率为27.7%~34.8%;实施2011版标准,贡献率为12.2%~19.6%,其中一次贡献率为2.6%~4.4%,二次贡献率为10.1%~14.9%。 

     

    Abstract: Based on implementation of the Air Pollutants Emission Standards for Thermal Power Plants of 2003 and 2011 versions, four scenarios were set up to simulate the PM2.5 concentration in 2020 using WRF-CMAQ model system. The effect of implementation of the new standards was thus evaluated and the change of the PM2.5 contribution by the thermal power plants(TPPs) investigated. The results showed that the implementation of the 2011-version emission standards could effectively reduce the PM2.5 pollution, but the pollution was still serious in China. In 2020, implementation of the 2003-version emission standards, the contribution rate of the TPPs to PM2.5 in 30 cities of China is 27.7%~34.8%, implementation of the 2011-version emission standards, the contribution rate of the TPPs to PM2.5 in 30 cities of China is 12.2~19.6%, with the contribution rate of primary and secondary are 2.2%~4.4% and 10.1%~14.9% respectively.

     

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