“一带一路”沿线国家碳排放EKC检验及脱钩关系分析

邬娜; 傅泽强; 王艳华; 何川; 封强

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2018.06.089

“一带一路”沿线国家碳排放EKC检验及脱钩关系分析

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2018.06.089

中国环境科学研究院清洁生产与循环经济研究中心,北京 100012

详细信息

作者简介:
作者简介:邬娜(1983—),女,高级工程师,硕士,主要从事产业生态学、区域规划等方面的研究,wuna@craes.org.cn

通讯作者:
傅泽强 E-mail: fuzq@craes.org.cn

中图分类号: X22;
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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2018-06-05
- 刊出日期: 2018-11-20

EKC test and decoupling analysis of carbon emissions in countries along the “One Belt and One Road”

Center of Cleaner Production and Circular Economy Research, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China

More Information

Corresponding author: 傅泽强 E-mail: fuzq@craes.org.cn

摘要

摘要: “一带一路”倡议是由我国提出的重大倡议,其目的是促进区域各国可持续发展。构造带有三次项的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)静态面板模型,利用2006年、2009年和2014年“一带一路”沿线国家人均能源消费量、人均二氧化碳排放量、人均GDP进行EKC检验,结果表明,“一带一路”沿线国家处于人均能源消费量随人均GDP增长而降低,人均二氧化碳排放量随着人均GDP的增长而增长阶段。同时对“一带一路”沿线国家人均二氧化碳排放量与人均GDP的脱钩情况进行分析,得出整体上“一带一路”沿线国家正从负脱钩向脱钩逐步转变,且目前平均水平应在弱脱钩阶段。为促进“一带一路”沿线国家绿色、低碳可持续发展,从优化能源消费结构,加强生态环境保护的深入合作,推进节能环保产业发展等方面提出了对策。
- "一带一路" /
- EKC检验 /
- 碳排放 /
- 脱钩分析
Abstract: “One Belt and One Road”(OBOR) is a significant initiative proposed by China that shall promote the sustainable development in the countries of the region. One static panel model of Environment Kuznets Curve with cubic term was constructed, and the data of per capita energy consumption, per capita carbon dioxide emissions and real GDP per capita in 2006, 2009, and 2014 in OBOR countries were used to perform EKC test. The results of EKC test showed that the countries were in the phase of the per capita energy consumption decreasing with the increase of per capita GDP and while per capita carbon emissions increasing with the increase of per capita GDP. Meanwhile, the decoupling of per capita carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth in OBOR countries was analyzed. It showed that a transformation from negative dcoupling to decoupling had been experienced in OBOR countries overall. Besides, the current average level of the countries is at the weak decoupling phase. Some solutions such as optimizing structure of energy consumption, strengthening in-depth cooperation on environmental protection and advancing energy-saving and environmental protection industries were presented, to promote the environmental friendly and low-carbon and sustainable development in OBOR countries.
- "One Belt and One Road" /
- test of environment Kuznets curve /
- carbon emission /
- analyzing decoupling degree

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