碳排放与经济增长的协调性分析

张型芳; 罗宏; 吕连宏

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2017.04.071

碳排放与经济增长的协调性分析

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2017.04.071

中国环境科学研究院环境与经济研究室,北京 100012

详细信息

作者简介:
张型芳(1992—),女,硕士研究生,主要从事环境经济学研究, zhangxingfang2008@126.com

通讯作者:
罗宏 E-mail: luohong@craes.org.com

中图分类号: X24
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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2016-10-09
- 刊出日期: 2017-07-20

Coordination analysis on carbon emission and economic growth

Department of Environment & Economics, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China

More Information

Corresponding author: Hong LUO E-mail: luohong@craes.org.com

摘要

摘要: 针对碳排放和经济增长的协调性关系,基于环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说和脱钩理论,选取中国、美国、印度、俄罗斯、日本、德国、韩国、沙特阿拉伯、加拿大、英国10个主要碳排放国家的年度数据进行实证研究。碳排放与经济增长的协调性分析结果表明:欧盟等国协调性较好,中、印等发展中国家需要加强。EKC与脱钩理论在度量低碳方面是统一的(2种方法下考察碳强度得到的弹性和结论基本一致),在构建低碳指标长、短期目标时,可分别参考EKC回归系数(β)和Tapio脱钩弹性系数(e);在促进低碳经济发展方面,发展中国家可借鉴欧盟等国经验,力求较低碳排放和较高经济增长之间的协调发展。
- 碳排放 /
- 经济增长 /
- 环境库兹涅茨曲线 /
- 脱钩理论
Abstract: Aiming at the coordination relationship between carbon emission and economic growth, the annual data of 10 major carbon emitting countries (China, United States, India, Russian Federation, Japan, Germany, Korea, Saudi Arabia, Canada and United Kingdom) have been chosen to conduct an empirical study. The main research results include: The results of coordination analysis on carbon emissions and economic growth in different countries vary a lot. The EU countries share better coordination in low-carbon economy with lower carbon emission per capita and higher GDP per capita. However, some developing countries such as China and India need to be enhanced. EKC hypothesis and decoupling theory are unified measurement of low-carbon(when studying the carbon intensity by these two methods, the consistent elasticity and similar results can be obtained), and the EKC regression coefficients β and Tapio decoupling elasticity e can be taken advantage of respectively to build low-carbon indicators of long-term and short-term goals. In the respect of promoting low-carbon economy development, developing countries should learn from EU countries in the pursuit of coordination between lower carbon emissions and higher economic growth.
- carbon emission /
- economic growth /
- environmental Kuznets curve /
- decoupling theory

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