中国地区黑碳气溶胶的气候效应模拟

关攀博; 师华定; 高庆先; 杜吴鹏; 郑辉辉; 张强

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2017.04.057

中国地区黑碳气溶胶的气候效应模拟

doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-991X.2017.04.057

^1. 中国环境科学研究院,北京 100012
^2. 北京市气象局气候中心,北京 100089
^3. 清华大学,北京 100084

详细信息

作者简介:
关攀博(1991—),男,硕士研究生,主要从事应用气候和大气环境研究, guanpanbo@163.com

通讯作者:
师华定 E-mail: shihd@craes.org.cn

中图分类号: X16
计量
- 文章访问数: 818
- HTML全文浏览量: 53
- PDF下载量: 1142
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2016-11-16
- 刊出日期: 2017-07-20

Study on black carbon aerosol simulation of climate effect in China

^1. Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China
^2. Beijing Meteorological Bureau Climate Center,Beijing 100089, China
^3. Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China

More Information

Corresponding author: Huading SHI E-mail: shihd@craes.org.cn

摘要

摘要: RegCM模式对于中国区域气候要素模拟的准确性已得到本地化验证,但系统默认的数据源往往不具备本地化的特征,尤其是气溶胶排放清单设定的生物质源具有季节变化性,人为源为固定值,大大降低了人为源的气溶胶气候效应影响。采用多尺度排放清单模型(MEIC)计算的2013年黑碳气溶胶排放清单,设置不同试验情景,对比分析了人为黑碳气溶胶的气候效应。结果表明:黑碳气溶胶的加入使中国地区的辐射强迫、温度、降水以及黑碳气溶胶柱含量都产生明显变化,且有显著季节变化特征;随着季节变化,气候要素的增减效应范围不同,温度呈由南向北的增长趋势,降水量呈南增北减的趋势,黑碳气溶胶柱含量高值区集中出现在南方工业聚集区。
- RegCM /
- 气候效应模拟 /
- 排放源 /
- 黑碳气溶胶
Abstract: The accuracy of the RegCM model simulation has been verified for the regional climate elements in many studies in China. However, the default data sources of the system usually lack the localized characteristics, especially for the aerosol emission inventory. The biomass sources have seasonal variability, whereas the anthropogenic sources are fixed unchanged, which greatly neglect the aerosol climate effects of the anthropogenic sources. The climate effect of anthropogenic black carbon aerosol was compared and analyzed under different scenarios, applying the emission source inventory (calculated by MEIC model). The results showed that the addition of black carbon aerosol could significantly change the radiative forcing, temperature, rainfall and black carbon aerosol column contents in China, with obvious seasonal variation characteristics. With the variation of seasons, different climatic factors had different increase/decrease tendency: the temperature increased from south to north areas; the rainfall increased in south areas and decreased in north areas; and the black carbon aerosol column was centered on the southern industrial agglomeration areas.
- RegCM /
- climate effect simulation /
- emission source /
- black carbon aerosol

HTML全文

参考文献(17)

[1]	穆燕, 秦小光, 刘嘉麒 , 等. 黑炭的研究历史与现状[J]. 海洋地质与第四纪地质, 2011,31(1):143-155. MU Y, QIN X G, LIU J Q , et al. A review of black carbon study:history and current status[J]. Marine Geology & Quaternary Geology, 2011,31(1):143-155.
[2]	张靖, 银燕 . 黑炭气溶胶对我国趋于气候影响的数值模拟[J]. 南京气象学院学报, 2008,31(6):852-859. ZHANG J, YIN Y . Numerical simulations of effect of black carbon aerosol on regional climate in China[J]. Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, 2008,31(6):852-859.
[3]	杜吴鹏, 高庆先, 师华定 , 等. RegCM3模式对中国近10年来气温变化的模拟实验及检验[J]. 资源科学, 2012,34(8):1430-1438. DU W P, GAO Q X, SHI H D , et al. Simulation and preliminary validation of China’s temperature in a decade by RegCM3[J]. Resources Science, 2012,34(8):1430-1438.
[4]	IPCC. Climate change 2015:the physical sciences basis-summary for policymakers[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2015.
[5]	高学杰, 石英, 张冬峰 , 等. RegCM3对21世纪中国区域气候变化的高分辨率模拟[J]. 科学通报, 2012(5):374-381. GAO X J, SHI Y, ZHANG D F , et al. The simulation of China’s climate change in 21st century by RegCM3[J]. Science Bulletin, 2012(5):374-381.
[6]	KOTRONI V, LYKOUDIS S, LAGOUVARDOS K , et al. A fine resolution regional climate change experiment for the eastern mediterranean:analysis of the present climate simulations[J]. Global and Planetary Change, 2008,64(1):93-104.
[7]	高学杰, 徐影, 赵宗慈 . 数值模式不同分辨率和地形对东亚降水模拟影响的试验[J]. 大气科学, 2006,30(2):185-192. GAO X J, XU Y, ZHAO Z C . Impacts of horizontal resolution and topography on the numerical simulation of East Asian precipitation[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2006,30(2):185-192.
[8]	SOLMON F, GIORGI F, LIOUSSE C , et al. Aerosol modeling for regional climate studies:application to anthropogenic particles and evaluation over a European/African domain[J]. Tellus, 2006,58(1):51-72.
[9]	刘玲, 高素华, 王兰宁 . 三江源地区气候突变及未来演变趋势分析[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2009,18(3):53-59. LIU L, GAO S H, WANG L N . Mutation and evolution trend of climate in Headstream of Three Rivers[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2009,18(3):53-59.
[10]	LI M . MIX:a mosaic Asian anthropogenic emission inventory under the international collaboration framework of the MICS-Asia and HTAP[J]. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2017,17:935-963.
[11]	GIORGI F, MARINUCCI M R, BATES G T . Development of a third-generation regional climate model(RegCM3):Part I.boundary-layer and radiate transfer processes[J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1993,121:2794-2813.
[12]	GIORGI F, MARINUCCI M R, BATES G T . Development of a third-generation regional climate model(RegCM3):Part Ⅱ.convective processes and assimilation of lateral boundary conditions[J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1993,121:2814-2832.
[13]	PAL J S, GIORGI F, BI X , et al. Regional climate modeling for the developing world:the ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET[J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2007,88(9):1395-1409.
[14]	ZENG X, ZHAO M, DICKINSON R E . Intercomparison of bulk aerodynamic algorithms for the computation of sea surface fluxes using TOGA COARE and TAO data[J]. Journal of Climate, 2007,111(9):2628-2644.
[15]	HOLTSLAG A, de BRUIJIN E, PAN H L . A high resolution air mass transformation model for short-range weather forecasting[J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1990,118:1561-1575.
[16]	PAL J S, SMALL E E, ELTAHIR E A B . Simulation of regional-scale water and energy budgets:representation of subgrid cloud and precipitation processes within RegCM[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 2000,105(24):29579-29594.
[17]	郑辉辉, 师华定, 陈莉荣 , 等. 典型行业黑碳气溶胶排放对区域气候的影响模拟[J]. 环境工程技术学报, 2017,7(3):255-262. ZHENG H H, SHI H D, CHEN L R , et al. Simulation of impact of black carbon aerosol on regional climate change in typical industries[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology, 2017,7(3):255-262.